Insights & Analysis

IranWatch Daily: August 20, 2025

Brief Notes Navy Missile Exercise Set to Begin in Indian Ocean: The Islamic Republic’s Artesh (conventional, non-IRGC) Navy will begin a two-day military exercise, entitled Eghtedar Paydar 1404 (“Sustainable Power 2025” in Persian) in the northern Indian Ocean and the Sea of Oman tomorrow. Rear...

IranWatch Daily: August 19, 2025

Brief Notes Islamic Republic to Expel Two Million Afghans: Interior Minister Eskand Momeni said up to two million undocumented Afghan nationals will be deported to Afghanistan by March 2026, with 1.2 million Afghans already having “voluntarily” departed since March 2025. Speaking in Mashhad, Momeni...

IranWatch Daily: August 18, 2025

Brief Notes Perplexing Fires, Explosions Continue: Two major fires happened in Tehran yesterday, with both described as accidents, one at a waste depot, and the other as a “privately owned oil and petroleum storage” by authorities. Following the 12-Day War, explosions and fires have become a source...

NUFDI said that AIM’s London office is operated by the World Ahlul Bayt Foundation, which is currently directed by a supposed co-founder of...

IranWatch Daily: August 15, 2025

Latest NUFDI Publications Outside Publication: IRGC moves to keep factions on message as Khamenei fades from view Policy Brief: E3 Prepared to Trigger Snapback by End of August Blog Post: The Execution Republic in Iran Gearing Up for Mass Murder Brief Notes Araghchi Rejects Concerns of U.S....

The Execution Republic in Iran Gearing Up for Mass Murder

When the Islamic Republic faces a crisis, whether domestic dissent or foreign conflict, it does not respond with reform or reconciliation. It turns inward, directing its fiercest blows against the Iranian people. This is not a passing phase but the core of its survival: as long as the regime...

E3 Prepared to Trigger Snapback by End of August

As the end of August draws near, the foreign ministers of Germany, France, and the UK, also known as the E3, have moved from signaling to formal notice. In an August 8 letter to the United Nations, th...

IranWatch Daily: August 14, 2025

Brief Notes Islamic Republic Claims Preparedness for War: Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi today said, “at present, as an international relations expert, I do not see war as imminent.” Speaking in a live interview on state-run IRIB TV1 while attending Arbaeen ceremonies in Karbala, Iraq, Araghchi...

IranWatch Daily: August 13, 2025

Brief Notes E3 Reaffirms Snapback Ultimatum: The foreign ministers of France, the UK, and Germany have warned that if no satisfactory agreement on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program is reached by the end of August, they will trigger the snapback mechanism provided in UNSC Resolution 2231. The...

IranWatch Daily: August 12, 2025

NUFDI’s Latest Publications Mapping a Shadow War: Since the 12-Day War, explosions and fires have been occurring across Iran. NUFDI and the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) have jointly tracked and mapped these incidents. Check the map out here! You can also click here to see NUFDI and...

IranWatch Daily: August 6, 2025

NUFDI’s Latest Publications Iran's security shakeup is more rebrand than reboot Brief Notes Renewed Shutdowns Amid Water, Energy Crisis: Public offices in 28 of Iran’s 31 provinces have been shut down by the Islamic Republic today amid deepening shortages of water and electricity amplified by...

IranWatch Daily: August 5, 2025

Brief Notes Amid Security Concerns, Islamic Republic Begins Turning on Its Own: Hassan Younesi, a licensed attorney in Iran and the son of former six-year intelligence minister Ali Younesi, wrote on his X account that Tehran’s public prosecutor charged him with “strengthening the Zionist regime”...